BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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NC State
Class: 1 Class Rank: 35 Overall: (20-14) Overall Strength = 42.07
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (11-9) | District: 1-01 Record: (11-13)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Home W 56.51 114 66 1 346 (14-18) NC Central 13.73 * 34.27
2 11-07-2025 Home W 51.44 94 70 1 128 (20-12) Alabama-Birmingham 8.67 15.33
3 11-12-2025 Home W 59.68 110 64 1 300 (15-19) UNC Greensboro 16.91 * 29.09
4 11-17-2025 Home W 42.37 85 79 1 49 (28- 8) VCU -0.41 6.41
5 11-24-2025 Neutral L 27.87 74 85 1 52 (21-12) Seton Hall -14.91 3.91
6 11-25-2025 Neutral W 48.33 81 70 1 62 (20-12) Boise St 5.56 5.44
7 11-26-2025 Neutral L * 37.84 97 102 1 32 (21-15) Texas -4.94 -0.06
8 12-03-2025 Away L * 34.96 73 83 1 33 (22-16) Auburn -7.82 -2.18
9 12-06-2025 Home W 28.97 75 63 1 245 (15-17) UNC Asheville -13.81 * 25.81
10 12-10-2025 Home W 66.06 85 45 1 131 (26- 8) Liberty 23.28 16.72
11 12-13-2025 Home L * 42.16 76 77 1 1 21 (24-11) Kansas -0.62 -0.38
12 12-17-2025 Home W 47.16 108 72 1 315 (12-18) TX Southern 4.38 * 31.62
13 12-21-2025 Neutral W * 50.53 76 62 1 64 (15-20) Mississippi 7.75 6.25
14 12-31-2025 Home W * * 47.32 70 57 1 61 (18-17) Wake Forest 4.54 8.46
15 01-03-2026 Home L * * 28.58 61 76 1 19 (30- 6) Virginia -14.20 -0.80
16 01-06-2026 Away W * * 39.43 79 71 1 136 (11-20) Boston College -3.35 11.35
17 01-10-2026 Away W * * 83.48 113 69 1 65 (18-15) Florida St 40.70 3.30
18 01-17-2026 Home L * * 21.44 74 78 1 148 (11-20) Georgia Tech -21.34 17.34
19 01-20-2026 Away W * * 48.60 80 76 1 1 37 (24-11) Clemson 5.82 -1.82
20 01-24-2026 Away W * * 45.21 81 72 1 95 (13-20) Pittsburgh 2.43 6.57
21 01-27-2026 Home W * * 52.50 88 68 1 81 (15-17) Syracuse 9.72 10.28
22 01-31-2026 Away W * * 57.72 96 78 1 61 (18-17) Wake Forest 14.94 3.06
23 02-03-2026 Away W * 45.32 84 83 1 42 (20-14) SMU 2.55 -1.55
24 02-07-2026 Home W * * 44.46 82 73 1 55 (19-13) Virginia Tech 1.69 7.31
25 02-09-2026 Away L * * 9.66 77 118 1 18 (24-11) Louisville -33.12 -7.88
26 02-14-2026 Home L * * 39.59 76 77 1 34 (26- 9) Miami FL -3.19 2.19
27 02-17-2026 Home W * * 65.20 82 58 1 27 (24- 9) North Carolina 22.42 1.58
28 02-24-2026 Away L * * 19.98 61 90 1 19 (30- 6) Virginia -22.80 -6.20
29 02-28-2026 Away L * * 30.78 90 96 1 1 86 (13-18) Notre Dame -12.00 6.00
30 03-02-2026 Home L * * 24.15 64 93 1 2 (35- 3) Duke -18.63 -10.37
31 03-07-2026 Home L * * 33.54 84 85 1 60 (20-13) Stanford -9.24 8.24
32 03-11-2026 Neutral W * * 43.51 98 88 1 95 (13-20) Pittsburgh 0.73 9.27
33 03-12-2026 Neutral L * * 39.28 74 81 1 19 (30- 6) Virginia -3.50 -3.50
34 03-17-2026 Neutral L * 40.84 66 68 1 32 (21-15) Texas -1.94 -0.06
Averages 42.78 83.2 76.3
Best game: 83.48 = 44 point win over Florida St
Worst game: 9.66 = 41 point loss to Louisville
Team stdev: 14.70