BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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NC State
Class: 1 Class Rank: 34 Overall: (20-14) Overall Strength = 42.07
Conference: Atlantic Coast Record: (11-9) | District: 1-01 Record: (11-13)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Home W 56.53 114 66 1 346 (14-18) NC Central 13.75 * 34.25
2 11-07-2025 Home W 51.46 94 70 1 128 (20-12) Alabama-Birmingham 8.67 15.33
3 11-12-2025 Home W 59.70 110 64 1 300 (15-19) UNC Greensboro 16.92 * 29.08
4 11-17-2025 Home W 42.41 85 79 1 49 (28- 8) VCU -0.37 6.37
5 11-24-2025 Neutral L 27.86 74 85 1 52 (21-12) Seton Hall -14.92 3.92
6 11-25-2025 Neutral W 48.41 81 70 1 62 (20-12) Boise St 5.63 5.37
7 11-26-2025 Neutral L * 37.82 97 102 1 32 (21-15) Texas -4.97 -0.03
8 12-03-2025 Away L * 34.56 73 83 1 38 (20-16) Auburn -8.23 -1.77
9 12-06-2025 Home W 28.99 75 63 1 246 (15-17) UNC Asheville -13.79 * 25.79
10 12-10-2025 Home W 66.09 85 45 1 131 (26- 8) Liberty 23.31 16.69
11 12-13-2025 Home L * 42.18 76 77 1 1 21 (24-11) Kansas -0.61 -0.39
12 12-17-2025 Home W 47.18 108 72 1 315 (12-18) TX Southern 4.40 * 31.60
13 12-21-2025 Neutral W * 50.51 76 62 1 64 (15-20) Mississippi 7.72 6.28
14 12-31-2025 Home W * * 47.31 70 57 1 61 (18-17) Wake Forest 4.53 8.47
15 01-03-2026 Home L * * 28.59 61 76 1 19 (30- 6) Virginia -14.19 -0.81
16 01-06-2026 Away W * * 39.45 79 71 1 136 (11-20) Boston College -3.33 11.33
17 01-10-2026 Away W * * 83.50 113 69 1 65 (18-15) Florida St 40.72 3.28
18 01-17-2026 Home L * * 21.46 74 78 1 148 (11-20) Georgia Tech -21.33 17.33
19 01-20-2026 Away W * * 48.59 80 76 1 1 36 (24-11) Clemson 5.81 -1.81
20 01-24-2026 Away W * * 45.21 81 72 1 95 (13-20) Pittsburgh 2.43 6.57
21 01-27-2026 Home W * * 52.51 88 68 1 82 (15-17) Syracuse 9.73 10.27
22 01-31-2026 Away W * * 57.72 96 78 1 61 (18-17) Wake Forest 14.93 3.07
23 02-03-2026 Away W * 45.35 84 83 1 42 (20-14) SMU 2.57 -1.57
24 02-07-2026 Home W * * 44.48 82 73 1 54 (19-13) Virginia Tech 1.70 7.30
25 02-09-2026 Away L * * 9.69 77 118 1 18 (24-11) Louisville -33.09 -7.91
26 02-14-2026 Home L * * 39.60 76 77 1 33 (26- 9) Miami FL -3.18 2.18
27 02-17-2026 Home W * * 65.21 82 58 1 27 (24- 9) North Carolina 22.43 1.57
28 02-24-2026 Away L * * 20.00 61 90 1 19 (30- 6) Virginia -22.78 -6.22
29 02-28-2026 Away L * * 30.82 90 96 1 1 86 (13-18) Notre Dame -11.97 5.97
30 03-02-2026 Home L * * 24.15 64 93 1 2 (35- 3) Duke -18.64 -10.36
31 03-07-2026 Home L * * 33.68 84 85 1 59 (20-12) Stanford -9.10 8.10
32 03-11-2026 Neutral W * * 43.51 98 88 1 95 (13-20) Pittsburgh 0.72 9.28
33 03-12-2026 Neutral L * * 39.30 74 81 1 19 (30- 6) Virginia -3.49 -3.51
34 03-17-2026 Neutral L * 40.82 66 68 1 32 (21-15) Texas -1.97 -0.03
Averages 42.78 83.2 76.3
Best game: 83.50 = 44 point win over Florida St
Worst game: 9.69 = 41 point loss to Louisville
Team stdev: 14.71